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A month has passed by considering that the last earnings file for IBM (IBM). Shares have brought about 3.9% in that point frame, underperforming the S&P 500.
Will the contemporary effective fashion proceed leading as much as its subsequent revenue unencumber, or is IBM due for a pullback? before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a brief appear at the most fresh income file with the intention to get a far better handle on the essential drivers.
IBM this autumn profits Beat Estimates, Revenues Decline Y/Y
overseas enterprise Machines Corp delivered fourth-quarter 2018 non-GAAP income of $4.87 per share, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.81 per share. however, earnings per share (EPS) reduced 5.9% from the 12 months-ago quarter. The 12 months-over-year decline in EPS will also be attributed to greater tax fee.
Revenues of $21.seventy six billion had been very nearly in keeping with the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $21.74 billion and declined three.5% on a year-over-yr basis. At constant forex (cc), revenues dipped 1%. The yr-over-12 months decline can essentially be attributed to forex fluctuation and headwinds from IBM Z product cycle.
certainly, IBM cited that signings surged 21% on cc groundwork to $15.eight billion. features backlog declined 1% year over yr and got here in at $116 billion.
Geographic income details
Revenues from Americas have been down four%, reflecting the headwind from the IBM Z product cycle. however, endured boom in Latin america was a positive.
Europe, center-East and Africa accelerated 2% from the yr-ago quarter chiefly because of growth in Spain, Germany, Italy and the U.k.
Asia-Pacific revenues declined 1% on a year-over-12 months foundation with modest increase in Japan.
Strategic Imperatives growth Continues
Strategic Imperatives (cloud, analytics, mobility and safety) grew 5% at cc from the year-in the past quarter to $11.5 billion. excluding IBM Z product cycle influence Strategic Imperatives grew 11% yr over 12 months.
protection revenues surged 17% (with the exception of IBM Z product cycle have an impact on) and declined 3% on cc groundwork. On a trailing 12-month basis, Strategic Imperatives revenues have been $40 billion, up 9%.
Cloud revenues surged 6% from the yr-in the past quarter to $5.7 billion and 19% (except for IBM Z product cycle have an effect on). The annual run expense for cloud as-a-service revenues expanded 21% at cc on a yr-over-year groundwork to $12.2 billion.
Cloud revenues of $19.2 billion on a trailing 12-month basis expanded 12% 12 months over 12 months.
Cognitive Revenues Surge
Cognitive solutions’ revenues-exterior improved 2% yr over year (on cc groundwork) to $5.5 billion. Revenues from Cognitive solutions (including solutions utility and transaction processing) multiplied essentially as a result of growth in solutions utility, together with analytics and artificial intelligence (AI).
Segmental revenues touching on Strategic Imperatives and Cloud improved 9% and 5%, respectively. Cloud as-a-provider salary annual run price become $2 billion.
options utility includes choices in strategic verticals like fitness, domain-particular capabilities like analytics and safety, and IBM’s rising technologies of AI and blockchain. The phase additionally comprises offerings that address horizontal domains like collaboration, commerce and skill. within the said quarter, solutions software revenues increased 3% 12 months over 12 months.
IBM cited that the mixing of AI into choices like client event analytics in commerce area helped SaaS signings to grow in double digit in the reported quarter.
Transaction Processing software comprises software that runs mission-essential workloads, leveraging IBM’s hardware platforms. Revenues had been up 1% on a 12 months-over-12 months groundwork.
IBM witnessed increase in business verticals like health, key areas of analytics and protection in the quarter. Watson health witnessed vast-based boom in Payer, provider, Imaging and existence Sciences domains.
throughout the fourth quarter, IBM improved partnership with Vodafone group. Per the deal, IBM’s superior hybrid cloud platform, AI, web of issues (“IoT”) capabilities will support Vodafone enterprise with digital transformation initiatives.
IBM mentioned that analytics carried out smartly in the quarter, driven through records science offerings and IBM Cloud inner most for facts providing.
security growth was pushed by choices in orchestration, records safety and endpoint management.
In blockchain, IBM announced addition of several new customers right through the quarter, which includes “work with smart Dubai on the center East’s first govt-recommended blockchain platform.” The business additionally unveiled an on-prem offering all through the reported quarter, the IBM Blockchain Platform for IBM Cloud private. a few new deal wins is additionally aiding IBM to give a boost to its foothold in blockchain know-how.
world enterprise capabilities Revenues raise
Revenues from world company services-external section have been $4.3 billion, up four% from the yr-in the past quarter (up 6% at cc). The year-over-12 months increase became primarily because of boom throughout all three business areas particularly consulting, application management and international process features.
Segmental revenues referring to Strategic Imperatives grew 14%. Cloud practice surged 34%. Cloud as-a-carrier salary annual run fee was $2.1 billion.
application management revenues accelerated four% from the year-ago quarter. world method functions revenues climbed 5%. furthermore, Consulting revenues accelerated 10% yr over 12 months, pushed through powerful performance from IBM’s digital business.
expertise functions & Cloud platforms: Revenues Dip
Revenues from technology features & Cloud systems-exterior diminished 3% from the 12 months-ago quarter (flat at cc) to $eight.9 billion. Segmental revenues referring to Strategic Imperatives advanced 13%, pushed by way of hybrid cloud functions. Cloud surged 22% from the year-ago quarter. Cloud as-a-service earnings annual run rate turned into $8 billion.
Integration utility increased four% from the yr-in the past quarter. all over the mentioned quarter, more than 100 corporations worldwide selected IBM Cloud private providing. Infrastructure functions revenues were flat on a 12 months-over-yr basis.
Technical assist features revenues diminished three% from the yr-ago quarter.
power & z14 power methods Revenues
techniques revenues lowered 21% on a yr-over-year foundation (down 20% at cc) to $2.6 billion, basically as a result of have an impact on of the IBM Z product cycle. Segmental revenues bearing on Strategic Imperatives plunged 22%, whereas Cloud revenues declined 31%.
IBM Z revenues decreased forty four% year over yr. despite the fact, MIPS skill has multiplied around 20%, driven by means of broad-based adoption of the z14 mainframe.
vigour revenues increased 10% from the 12 months-in the past quarter. The upside became certainly as a result of Linux and effective adoption across the latest POWER9-based mostly structure.
during the fourth quarter, IBM achieved the launch of its subsequent technology POWER9 processors for midrange and excessive-conclusion techniques that are designed for dealing with advanced analytics, cloud environments and records-intensive workloads in AI, HANA, and UNIX markets.
IBM also added new offerings optimizing each hardware and utility for AI. management believes that products like PowerAI imaginative and prescient and PowerAI business will help pressure new customer adoption.
youngsters, storage hardware revenues declined because of susceptible efficiency in the mid-range conclusion, partially offset by means of amazing growth in All Flash Arrays. IBM mentioned that pricing power within the immensely aggressive storage market is hurting revenues. The enterprise announced its new FlashSystems with subsequent era NVMe technology all through the said quarter.
working methods utility revenues declined three%, while systems Hardware slumped 23% from the 12 months-ago quarter.
finally, world Financing (contains financing and used gadget sales) revenues reduced eleven% year over 12 months and 9% at cc to $402 million.
Non-GAAP gross margin remained unchanged from the yr-ago quarter at forty nine.5%. The gross margin benefited basically by way of 190 groundwork points (bps) expansion in features margin. however, detrimental mix in IBM Z product cycle totally offset this enlargement.
operating price declined 5.three% year over year, due to consciousness of acquisition synergies and enhancing operational efficiencies. IBM continues to invest in rapidly growing fields like hybrid cloud, synthetic intelligence (AI), security and blockchain.
Pre-tax margin from continuing operations accelerated 50 bps on a 12 months-over-year foundation to 23.1%.
Cognitive solutions and world enterprise features phase pre-tax margins extended 290 bps and 520 bps, respectively, on a yr-over-year foundation. although, expertise services & Cloud platforms section pre-tax margin reduced in size 20 bps.
Non-GAAP working margins from continuing operations reduced in size ninety bps and came in at 20.3%.
steadiness Sheet & money circulate particulars
IBM ended fourth-quarter 2018 with $eleven.99 billion in total cash and marketable securities in comparison with $14.70 billion at the end of third-quarter 2018. total debt (together with existing element) became $forty five.eight billion, down from $forty six.9 million from the old quarter.
IBM reported money stream from operations (aside from international Financing receivables) of $7.3 billion and generated free money stream of $6.5 billion in the quarter under overview.
in the pronounced quarter, the enterprise back $three.5 billion to shareholders via dividends and share repurchases. The company again greater than $10 billion to shareholders via dividends and share repurchases for the whole fiscal 12 months.
at the end of the year, the business had $3.3 billion closing below current buyback authorization.
Fiscal 2018 Highlights
IBM mentioned fiscal 2018 non-GAAP salary of $13.81 per share, the place as revenues came in at $79.6 billion, up 1% each and every year over year.
Revenues from Cognitive options, global company capabilities, technology functions & Cloud systems, methods and global Financing came in at $18.forty eight billion, $16.eighty two billion, $34.forty six billion, $eight.03 billion and $1.59 billion, respectively.
IBM expects non-GAAP EPS forecast for 2019 to be as a minimum $13.90.
IBM nevertheless anticipates 2019 free cash movement of $12 billion.
How Have Estimates Been moving when you consider that Then?
It seems, clean estimates flatlined all the way through the past month.
at the present, IBM has a subpar boom ranking of D, besides the fact that children its Momentum score is doing lots greater with a B. Charting a a bit identical direction, the inventory turned into allotted a grade of A on the price facet, inserting it in the precise quintile for this investment strategy.
overall, the inventory has an combination VGM ranking of B. if you don't seem to be focused on one strategy, this rating is the one be sure to be interested in.
IBM has a Zacks Rank #three (hang). We expect an in-line return from the inventory in the following couple of months.
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point Roberts, WA and Vancouver, BC - February 14, 2019 (Investorideas.com Newswire) Investorideas.com (www.investorideas.com), a world investor information supply protecting synthetic Intelligence (AI) brings you brand new edition of The AI Eye - gazing inventory information, deal tracker and developments in artificial intelligence.
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The #AI Eye: IBM ( $IBM) to invest $50 Million in research With hospital and clinical middle and Qualcomm ($QCOM)
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ultra-modern Column - The AI Eye - gazing stock news, deal tracker and advancements in synthetic intelligenceglobal AI Chipset Market to strategy $13.four Billion USD with the aid of 2023
intellect Commerce has posted new analysis via In For boom, indicating that the global AI chipset market will method $13.four billion USD by using 2023, with the USA producing over $three.5 billion. An excerpt from the document abstract reads:
The AI chipset market is poised to radically change the complete embedded system ecosystem with a multitude of AI capabilities equivalent to deep desktop discovering, image detection, and many others. this could also be transformational for existing crucial company services similar to id administration, authentication, and cybersecurity.
Multi-processor AI chipsets be trained from the environment, clients, and machines to find hidden pattern amongst statistics, predict actionable insight, and perform moves according to selected situations. AI chipsets will turn into an integral part of each AI application/methods in addition to important assist of any information-intensive operation as they greatly increase processing for quite a few features in addition to raise overall computing efficiency.IBM to make investments $50 Million in analysis With sanatorium and medical core and Qualcomm, Accenture and Kellogg team to strengthen VR Merchandising answer stocks mentioned: (NYSE:IBM) (NasdaqGS:QCOM) (NYSE:ACN) (NYSE:k)
IBM, (NYSE:IBM) via Watson fitness, plans to make investments $50 million in analysis collaborations with Brigham and girls's medical institution, a educating health facility of Harvard clinical college, and Vanderbilt university medical middle - to strengthen the science of artificial intelligence (AI) and its utility to principal public health issues. Work with both institutions will concentrate on setting up solutions to health considerations superior ideal for AI. Kyu Rhee, M.D., M.P.P., vice president and chief health officer at IBM Watson health, commented:
"building on the MIT-IBM Watson Lab introduced ultimate 12 months, this collaboration will consist of contributions from IBM Watson health's lengthy-standing dedication to scientific research and our belief that working along with the realm's leading associations is the quickest path to increase, improve, and understand functional options that resolve one of the vital world's greatest health challenges."
QUALCOMM incorporated (NasdaqGS:QCOM) subsidiary Qualcomm applied sciences, Accenture (NYSE:ACN) and Kellogg business (NYSE:ok) are collaborating to advance and pilot a digital reality merchandise solution. The VR merchandising answer utilizes a Qualcomm VR reference design headset, powered with the aid of Qualcomm Snapdragon 845 mobile VR Platform and is developed with the aid of the Accenture extended truth (XR) follow. trying out turned into carried out in collaboration with Kellogg around the launch of their Pop muffins Bites product. Raffaella camera, global head, Innovation & Market approach, Accenture prolonged fact, defined the tech:
"Our VR merchandising answer has the potential to radically change product placement by analyzing client purchasing conduct in a holistic method. by way of combining the vigor of VR with eye-monitoring and analytics capabilities, it enables tremendous new insights to be captured whereas consumers shop via monitoring where and how they evaluate all items throughout an entire shelf or aisle. finally, this enables product placement choices to be made that can positively influence complete manufacturer income, versus only single product revenue."
Sam Mowers, Investorideas.com
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IBM (NYSE:IBM) and Toshiba (OTCMKTS:TOSYY) are each large-cap desktop and expertise businesses, but which is the advanced investment? we can compare both groups based on the energy of their dividends, profitability, analyst strategies, institutional possession, earnings, valuation and chance.
IBM pays an annual dividend of $6.28 per share and has a dividend yield of 4.5%. Toshiba doesn't pay a dividend. IBM pays out forty five.5% of its income in the sort of a dividend. IBM has expanded its dividend for 19 consecutive years.
Volatility & possibility
IBM has a beta of 1.25, which means that its share rate is 25% more risky than the S&P 500. Comparatively, Toshiba has a beta of 0.87, which means that its share rate is 13% less risky than the S&P 500.
here is a breakdown of contemporary rankings and cost objectives for IBM and Toshiba, as provided by MarketBeat.com.promote rankings dangle scores buy rankings powerful buy rankings score score IBM 2 10 eight 0 2.30 Toshiba 0 0 0 0 N/A
IBM presently has a consensus target price of $one hundred fifty five.seventy six, indicating a possible upside of 12.60%. Given IBM’s greater in all likelihood upside, equities analysts plainly trust IBM is extra favorable than Toshiba.
Valuation and profits
This table compares IBM and Toshiba’s gross income, income per share (EPS) and valuation.Gross earnings expense/income Ratio web income salary Per proportionfee/revenue Ratio IBM $79.fifty nine billion 1.58 $8.73 billion $13.eighty one 10.02 Toshiba $37.24 billion 0.54 $7.59 billion N/A N/A
IBM has better earnings and income than Toshiba.
This desk compares IBM and Toshiba’s net margins, return on fairness and return on property.internet Margins Return on fairness Return on assets IBM 10.ninety seven% 68.sixty one% 10.28% Toshiba fifty one.19% eleven.02% three.62%
Insider & Institutional ownership
62.0% of IBM shares are held by way of institutional investors. Comparatively, 0.1% of Toshiba shares are held by means of institutional buyers. 0.2% of IBM shares are held by means of insiders. effective institutional ownership is an indication that massive cash managers, endowments and hedge funds believe a corporation is poised for long-term increase.
IBM beats Toshiba on 12 of the 14 components in comparison between both shares.
IBM company Profile
international business Machines business enterprise operates as an integrated know-how and features business international. Its Cognitive solutions section offers Watson, a computing platform that interacts in language, procedures big facts, and learns from interactions with people and computer systems. This phase additionally offers facts and analytics solutions, including analytics and statistics administration structures, cloud information features, enterprise social utility, ability management options, and tailored business options; and transaction processing application that runs mission-essential programs in banking, airlines, and retail industries. The business's international company features section presents company consulting services; offers device integration, application management, upkeep, and aid features for packaged utility purposes; and finance, procurement, skill and engagement, and business-certain enterprise system outsourcing features. Its expertise capabilities & Cloud platforms segment gives cloud, assignment-based mostly, outsourcing, and different managed features for enterprise IT infrastructure environments. This segment additionally presents technical help, and utility and answer assist; and integration software solutions. The company's systems phase offers servers for companies, cloud service providers, and scientific computing agencies; information storage products and options; and z/OS, an business operating equipment. Its world Financing segment provides hire, installment fee plans, and loan financing features; short-time period working capital financing to suppliers, distributors, and resellers; and remanufacturing and remarketing services. international enterprise Machines corporation has a strategic partnership with Samsung Electronics to manufacture microprocessors. The enterprise turned into formerly known as Computing-Tabulating-Recording Co. and changed its name to foreign business Machines employer in 1924. The enterprise became headquartered in 1911 and is headquartered in Armonk, manhattan.
Toshiba company Profile
Toshiba organisation, along side its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets electronic and electrical items and programs global. It operates via six segments: energy methods & solutions, Infrastructure systems & options, Retail & Printing options, Storage & digital contraptions options, Industrial ICT options, and Others. The business presents infrastructure systems, together with vigor, transmission and distribution, industrial, railway transportation, security and automation, broadcasting and community, water and environmental, constructing, and POS programs; airport facilities and solid-state climate radars; elevators and escalators; and printing and IT options. It also offers electronic instruments and components, akin to semiconductors, storage items, microwave semiconductors and components, materials and gadgets, and monitor devices and accessories; and digital items comprising computers and pills, memory products, SSDs, televisions, Blu-ray products, and residential home equipment. furthermore, the business offers nuclear power era programs, thermal power technology techniques, lighting fixtures, air-conditioners, constructing and facility solutions, multi-feature peripherals, complicated disk drives, cloud options, visible items, and so forth. Toshiba business enterprise changed into established in 1875 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
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March 20, 2008 17:00 ET
Eight Cores of IBM Power Beats 64 Cores of PA-RISC With Just Nine Percent of Energy Costs; Trade-in Program Sweetens the Deal
ARMONK, NY--(Marketwire - March 20, 2008) - IBM (NYSE: IBM) today announced outstanding new performance results on the new System p™ 550 Express, along with an aggressive program that offers customers trade-in credit for replacing competitive machines from HP, Sun and other UNIX® vendors.
IBM is specifically reaching out to users who are still buying HP PA-RISC systems, as those customers may no longer be able to buy PA-RISC systems from HP by year end and have so far resisted the migration path HP is proposing to HP Integrity Systems. IBM estimates there are more than 170,000 of these systems still in customer production.
The 4.2GHz POWER6™ processor-based System p 550 Express achieved 629,159 tpmC on an 8-core p550 in a recent TPC-C (measuring the ability of a server to process complex online database transactions) benchmark. The IBM entry-level server was running a single instance of the IBM DB2® Enterprise 9.5 database software on the AIX® 5.3 operating system and using IBM System Storage™ DS3400 Express.
The 629K transaction per minute TPC-C result from a small, energy efficient eight-core IBM p550 offers 16 percent more database transaction performance. An eight-core p550 uses only nine percent of the energy costs compared to a 64-core HP 9000 Superdome PA-RISC 8700 (1) and uses only two percent of the space. The space savings is calculated based on a 64-core HP 9000 Superdome filling two cabinets resulting in a total of 128.9 cubic feet consumed, while the faster IBM p550 is a 4U server utilizing just two cubic feet or 1/10th of one standard 42U rack. Using 56 fewer cores, customers can also save up to 87 percent of the cost of software that has a licensing fee on a per core basis when migrating from the 64-core HP 9000 Superdome solution to the eight-core System p 550 Express.
The new benchmark is also 1.6 times the performance of HP's Integrity rx6600 using Itanium 2® (2).
The p550 Express has a maximum of eight cores with either a 3.5 or 4.2 GHz POWER6 processor and up to 256 GB of memory. The System p 550 is ideally suited as a mid-sized database server, or as an application server for ERP and CRM applications, or for both when a single physical server is configured as multiple virtual servers. The 256 GB of memory in a 4U form factor offers outstanding capacity for mid-size databases or for UNIX or x86 server consolidations supporting dozens or hundreds of server images, helping to simplify and optimize customer IT infrastructures and reduce server sprawl.
IBM Power™ Systems offerings, now with POWER6 processors, demonstrate IBM's continued commitment to organizations of all sizes. In addition to energy conservation and virtualization technologies, Power offers industry-leading performance. In fact, IBM is the leader in more than 70 key computing performance benchmarks (3). IBM is also the leading provider of UNIX solutions in the world today and has been number one for 10 quarters in a row (4).
Trade-in program capitalizes on upcoming PA-RISC end of life
In line with these leadership results, IBM last month introduced a program designed to assist customers facing uncertainty about the ability to order new PA-RISC systems after December 31, 2008, and the delay of Sun's ROCK processor by incenting clients to move to IBM UNIX solutions.
"It is a strong indicator to us that HP customers still buying PA-RISC have for years now resisted HP's plea to recompile their applications and migrate to the newer HP Integrity architecture. The PA-RISC technology they are still buying is no longer competitive as evidenced by today's compelling benchmark and the seemingly irresistible economic value proposition of switching to IBM Power," said Scott Handy, vice president of worldwide marketing and strategy, IBM Power Systems.
"But by year end they may have to deal with the withdrawal of PA-RISC, and those customers need to mitigate the risk of moving the UNIX workloads to another platform. IBM migration specialists have successfully migrated more than 1,000 customers to IBM's UNIX platform over the last two years."
IBM is interested in helping HP PA-RISC customers who do not see Itanium as a viable alternative for them to move to the industry's leading UNIX platform based on IBM Power processors.
IBM sales reps can offer assessments at no cost to PA-RISC customers with no obligation to buy, and customers can use the rebates from trade-ins toward the migration services.
The trade-in program includes a rebate offer of up to $7,200 per server (up from $4,800) for 3.5 GHz models ($900 per core) and up to $9,600 per server for 4.2 GHz models ($1,200 per core) good throughout 2008 for certain HP and Sun and other UNIX server replacements in the US, available now. The amount of the trade-in credit for each replaced machine depends upon the configuration of the replacement machine and represents a combination of the fair market value of the replaced machine and an additional incentive. IBM then recycles the old competitive systems to minimize environmental impact.
For more information about IBM, please visit www.ibm.com. For more information on IBM System p servers and offerings, please visit http://www.ibm.com/systems/p/.
TPC-C simulates a complete computing environment where a population of users executes transactions against a database. The benchmark is centered around the principal activities (transactions) of an order-entry environment. These transactions include entering and delivering orders, recording payments, checking the status of orders, and monitoring the level of stock at the warehouses. While the benchmark portrays the activity of a wholesale supplier, TPC-C is not limited to the activity of any particular business segment, but, rather represents any industry that must manage, sell, or distribute a product or service.
The TPC-C benchmark continues to be a popular yardstick for comparing OLTP performance on various hardware and software configurations. TPC-C is the industry-standard benchmark for measuring the performance and scalability of OLTP systems. It tests a broad cross-section of database functionality including inquiry, update, and queued mini-batch transactions. Many IT professionals consider TPC-C to be a valid indicator of "real-world" OLTP system performance.
TPC also measures the price/performance of a system by dividing the total system cost by the performance, measured in transactions per minute (tpmC). The TPC-C benchmark measures throughput in business tpmC for a simulated order-entry and distribution environment. Specifically, it measures how many new order tpmC a system generates while the system is simultaneously executing four other transaction types, such as payments, order-status updates, deliveries, and stock-level changes.
The Transaction Processing Performance Council (TPC), a not-for-profit organization, was founded to define transaction processing and database performance benchmarks, such as the TPC-C, TPC-H, and TPC-W benchmarks, and to disseminate objective performance data based on these benchmarks. TPC benchmarks have extremely stringent requirements, including both reliability and durability tests, and must undergo an independent audit. Council members include most major database vendors and suppliers of server hardware systems.
IBM and ibm.com are registered trademarks of International Business Machines Corporation in the United States and/or other countries or both. All other company/product names and service marks may be trademarks or registered trademarks of their respective companies. UNIX is a registered trademark in the United States and other countries licensed exclusively through The Open Group. TPC and the benchmark name TPC-C are registered trademarks of the Transaction Processing Performance Council.
Source: http://www.tpc.org/. Results as of 3/17/08.
(1) IBM TPC-C result of 629,159 tpmC, $2.49/tpmC on an 8-core (4 processor chips, 16 threads) 4.2 GHz System p 550 running DB2 Enterprise 9 on AIX V5.3 vs. HP TPC-C result of 541,674 tpmC, $11.66/tpmC on a 64-core (64 processor chips, 64 threads) 875 MHz PA RISC HP 9000 Superdome (configuration available 01/30/2004). Power consumption figures of 1,400W for the IBM System p 550 and 16,920W for the HP 9000 Superdome were based on the maximum rates published by IBM and HP, respectively. This information for the p550 is in available at http://www.ibm.com/common/ssi/index.wss -- search for System p 550. The information for the HP9000 Superdome is available at http://h18000.www1.hp.com/products/quickspecs/11721_div/11721_div.PDF. All systems were compared based on maximum processor configuration because that is the data point for which power requirements are defined. Other configurations of these systems could have lower power consumption. Energy cost of $.01 per kWh is based on 2007 YTD US Average Retail price to commercial customers per US DOE at http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/FTPROOT/electricity/flash/october2007.pdf as of 12/3/07. Air conditioning power requirement estimated at 50% of system power requirement.
(2) IBM TPC-C result of 629,159 tpmC, $2.49/tpmC on an 8-core (4 processor chips, 16 threads) 4.2 GHz System p 550 running DB2 Enterprise 9 on AIX V5.3 vs. HP TPC-C result of 372,140 tpmC, $1.81/tpmC on an 8-core (4 chips, 16 threads) 1.6 GHz Intel® Itanium® 2 HP Integrity rx6600 (configuration available 6/11/2007). For more information, visit www.tpc.org.
(4) Per IDC Server Tracker 4Q 2007. Based on a rolling 4Q average of UNIX server revenue.
A month has gone by since the last earnings report for IBM (IBM). Shares have added about 3.9% in that time frame, underperforming the S&P 500.
Will the recent positive trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is IBM due for a pullback? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at the most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important drivers.
IBM Q4 Earnings Beat Estimates, Revenues Decline Y/Y
International Business Machines Corp delivered fourth-quarter 2018 non-GAAP earnings of $4.87 per share, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.81 per share. However, earnings per share (EPS) decreased 5.9% from the year-ago quarter. The year-over-year decline in EPS can be attributed to higher tax rate.
Revenues of $21.76 billion were almost in line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $21.74 billion and declined 3.5% on a year-over-year basis. At constant currency (cc), revenues dipped 1%. The year-over-year decline can primarily be attributed to currency fluctuation and headwinds from IBM Z product cycle.
Notably, IBM stated that signings surged 21% on cc basis to $15.8 billion. Services backlog declined 1% year over year and came in at $116 billion.
Geographic Revenue Details
Revenues from Americas were down 4%, reflecting the headwind from the IBM Z product cycle. However, continued growth in Latin America was a positive.
Europe, Middle-East and Africa increased 2% from the year-ago quarter mainly due to growth in Spain, Germany, Italy and the U.K.
Asia-Pacific revenues declined 1% on a year-over-year basis with modest growth in Japan.
Strategic Imperatives Growth Continues
Strategic Imperatives (cloud, analytics, mobility and security) grew 5% at cc from the year-ago quarter to $11.5 billion. Excluding IBM Z product cycle impact Strategic Imperatives grew 11% year over year.
Security revenues surged 17% (excluding IBM Z product cycle impact) and declined 3% on cc basis. On a trailing 12-month basis, Strategic Imperatives revenues were $40 billion, up 9%.
Cloud revenues surged 6% from the year-ago quarter to $5.7 billion and 19% (excluding IBM Z product cycle impact). The annual run rate for cloud as-a-service revenues increased 21% at cc on a year-over-year basis to $12.2 billion.
Cloud revenues of $19.2 billion on a trailing 12-month basis increased 12% year over year.
Cognitive Revenues Surge
Cognitive Solutions’ revenues-external increased 2% year over year (on cc basis) to $5.5 billion. Revenues from Cognitive Solutions (including solutions software and transaction processing) increased primarily due to growth in solutions software, including analytics and artificial intelligence (AI).
Segmental revenues pertaining to Strategic Imperatives and Cloud increased 9% and 5%, respectively. Cloud as-a-service revenue annual run rate was $2 billion.
Solutions Software includes offerings in strategic verticals like health, domain-specific capabilities like analytics and security, and IBM’s emerging technologies of AI and blockchain. The segment also includes offerings that address horizontal domains like collaboration, commerce and talent. In the reported quarter, Solutions Software revenues increased 3% year over year.
IBM stated that the integration of AI into offerings like customer experience analytics in commerce domain helped SaaS signings to grow in double digit in the reported quarter.
Transaction Processing Software includes software that runs mission-critical workloads, leveraging IBM’s hardware platforms. Revenues were up 1% on a year-over-year basis.
IBM witnessed growth in industry verticals like health, key areas of analytics and security in the quarter. Watson Health witnessed broad-based growth in Payer, Provider, Imaging and Life Sciences domains.
During the fourth quarter, IBM expanded partnership with Vodafone Group. Per the deal, IBM’s advanced hybrid cloud platform, AI, Internet of Things (“IoT”) capabilities will aid Vodafone Business with digital transformation initiatives.
IBM stated that analytics performed well in the quarter, driven by data science offerings and IBM Cloud Private for Data offering.
Security growth was driven by offerings in orchestration, data security and endpoint management.
In blockchain, IBM announced addition of several new clients during the quarter, which includes “work with Smart Dubai on the Middle East’s first government-endorsed blockchain platform.” The company also unveiled an on-prem offering during the reported quarter, the IBM Blockchain Platform for IBM Cloud Private. Several new deal wins is also aiding IBM to strengthen its foothold in blockchain technology.
Global Business Services Revenues Increase
Revenues from Global Business Services-external segment were $4.3 billion, up 4% from the year-ago quarter (up 6% at cc). The year-over-year increase was primarily due to growth across all three business areas namely consulting, application management and global process services.
Segmental revenues pertaining to Strategic Imperatives grew 14%. Cloud practice surged 34%. Cloud as-a-service revenue annual run rate was $2.1 billion.
Application Management revenues increased 4% from the year-ago quarter. Global Process Services revenues climbed 5%. Moreover, Consulting revenues increased 10% year over year, driven by strong performance from IBM’s digital business.
Technology Services & Cloud Platforms: Revenues Dip
Revenues from Technology Services & Cloud Platforms-external decreased 3% from the year-ago quarter (flat at cc) to $8.9 billion. Segmental revenues pertaining to Strategic Imperatives advanced 13%, driven by hybrid cloud services. Cloud surged 22% from the year-ago quarter. Cloud as-a-service revenue annual run rate was $8 billion.
Integration Software increased 4% from the year-ago quarter. During the reported quarter, more than 100 companies around the world selected IBM Cloud Private offering. Infrastructure Services revenues were flat on a year-over-year basis.
Technical Support Services revenues decreased 3% from the year-ago quarter.
Power & z14 Drive Systems Revenues
Systems revenues decreased 21% on a year-over-year basis (down 20% at cc) to $2.6 billion, primarily owing to impact of the IBM Z product cycle. Segmental revenues pertaining to Strategic Imperatives plunged 22%, while Cloud revenues declined 31%.
IBM Z revenues decreased 44% year over year. However, MIPS capacity has increased around 20%, driven by broad-based adoption of the z14 mainframe.
Power revenues increased 10% from the year-ago quarter. The upside was mainly due to Linux and robust adoption across the latest POWER9-based architecture.
During the fourth quarter, IBM completed the launch of its next generation POWER9 processors for midrange and high-end systems that are designed for handling advanced analytics, cloud environments and data-intensive workloads in AI, HANA, and UNIX markets.
IBM also introduced new offerings optimizing both hardware and software for AI. Management believes that products like PowerAI Vision and PowerAI Enterprise will help drive new customer adoption.
However, storage hardware revenues declined owing to weak performance in the mid-range end, partially offset by strong growth in All Flash Arrays. IBM stated that pricing pressure in the immensely competitive storage market is hurting revenues. The company announced its new FlashSystems with next generation NVMe technology during the reported quarter.
Operating Systems Software revenues declined 3%, while Systems Hardware slumped 23% from the year-ago quarter.
Finally, Global Financing (includes financing and used equipment sales) revenues decreased 11% year over year and 9% at cc to $402 million.
Non-GAAP gross margin remained unchanged from the year-ago quarter at 49.5%. The gross margin benefited primarily by 190 basis points (bps) expansion in services margin. However, unfavorable mix in IBM Z product cycle fully offset this expansion.
Operating expense declined 5.3% year over year, due to realization of acquisition synergies and improving operational efficiencies. IBM continues to invest in rapidly growing fields like hybrid cloud, artificial intelligence (AI), security and blockchain.
Pre-tax margin from continuing operations expanded 50 bps on a year-over-year basis to 23.1%.
Cognitive Solutions and Global Business Services segment pre-tax margins expanded 290 bps and 520 bps, respectively, on a year-over-year basis. However, Technology Services & Cloud Platforms segment pre-tax margin contracted 20 bps.
Non-GAAP operating margins from continuing operations contracted 90 bps and came in at 20.3%.
Balance Sheet & Cash Flow Details
IBM ended fourth-quarter 2018 with $11.99 billion in total cash and marketable securities compared with $14.70 billion at the end of third-quarter 2018. Total debt (including current portion) was $45.8 billion, down from $46.9 million from the previous quarter.
IBM reported cash flow from operations (excluding Global Financing receivables) of $7.3 billion and generated free cash flow of $6.5 billion in the quarter under review.
In the reported quarter, the company returned $3.5 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. The company returned more than $10 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases for the full fiscal year.
At the end of the year, the company had $3.3 billion remaining under current buyback authorization.
Fiscal 2018 Highlights
IBM reported fiscal 2018 non-GAAP earnings of $13.81 per share, where as revenues came in at $79.6 billion, up 1% each year over year.
Revenues from Cognitive Solutions, Global Business Services, Technology Services & Cloud Platforms, Systems and Global Financing came in at $18.48 billion, $16.82 billion, $34.46 billion, $8.03 billion and $1.59 billion, respectively.
IBM expects non-GAAP EPS forecast for 2019 to be at least $13.90.
IBM still anticipates 2019 free cash flow of $12 billion.
How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?
It turns out, fresh estimates flatlined during the past month.
At this time, IBM has a subpar Growth Score of D, however its Momentum Score is doing a lot better with a B. Charting a somewhat similar path, the stock was allocated a grade of A on the value side, putting it in the top quintile for this investment strategy.
Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of B. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.
IBM has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). We expect an in-line return from the stock in the next few months.
Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) : Free Stock Analysis Report To read this article on Zacks.com click here. Zacks Investment Research
The IBM Partner World partner-focused event is for IBM’s indirect channel of companies that take what IBM and other firms make and build solutions, predominantly for the mid-market. IBM’s partner program is impressively large and, for a time, when I worked at IBM, I was missioned (along with several others) to fix several of the problems that the firm then had in this area. It is fascinating to note that many of those same problems survived into this decade even though I left the firm decades ago, showcasing how difficult they were to resolve.
Today’s partner program is vastly improved, and it enjoys direct support from the top of IBM. Responsibility still isn’t ideal but it is improved from the complex matrix mess my old team was trying to deal with. Back then, I concluded that key problems couldn’t be fixed because most of our time was spent playing whack a mole with problems that came up faster than we could pound them down. Today’s IBM Partner program is far better run and it is about to get much better.
Importance of Partners
Partners are a force multiplier. With a fraction of the staff required for a direct channel, a firm can maintain a network of partners that can operate independently, make their own investments to improve their capabilities, and often rival or even exceed direct channel efforts regarding completing complex focused projects particularly in the mid to small company markets where direct sales forces don’t scale well. On the other hand, partners can be fickle and shift between host vendors very quickly based on incentives, support, or other opportunities, so driving loyalty becomes incredibly important.
The problems associated with partner programs include conflicts between partners and with the firm’s direct channel, reconciling commissions when you have blended deals or a direct sales rep in the same account a partner services, assuring the partners’ employees are adequately trained, maintaining quality in the channel, and assuring the partners aren’t at a significant disadvantage against direct channel efforts. This is on top of the need to instrument the partners to assure the integrity of the firm’s offerings though the changes that every company goes through (both the host company and the individual partners) and make sure that neither side takes advantage of the other.
IBM Partner World Execution
Well-run partner events are often closer to revival meetings in terms of energy and focus. While I didn’t see that level of energy at the IBM event, it was tightly focused on the partners’ needs and providing examples of success and insight into IBM’s new product announcements. I got the sense that this will be one of the early places where IBM’s AI tools will be deployed to provide a level of assistance to the partners at a granularity and scale that just aren’t affordable with human staff.
Examples of these AI tools, largely based on IBM Watson, were evident throughout the IBM keynote and there were examples showing that the people who used them weren’t even aware they were talking to a machine. I was told that IBM would shortly be rolling out an AI-based dating system that would match partners with each other for complex deals. With a deep learning AI, this could not only match these partners by skills but by personality and eventually even suggest teams in the respective companies that might best work with each other. This kind of granular matching, in theory, could create dynamic teams between partner companies to rapidly build groups that could address complex customer problems across world geographies. This became just one of the ways IBM’s Watson technology could make IBM itself far more competitive with regard to acquiring, retaining and boosting the revenues and effectiveness of its partner network.
Wrapping Up: Working with Partners and Staffing Partners
Partner programs are very difficult to manage. I was impressed with IBM’s executive team running the effort and particularly with one executive, Rose Nunez, who was driving much of the impressive advancement into the program. If they execute against the plans, their program will be the one to beat and become a solid reference for how something like this should be done.
Some of the other things that IBM is doing, and announced later, could also significantly strengthen partner efforts. One of the most interesting was IBM’s P-Tech program, which starts looking at candidates in 9th grade and drives students into funded STEM and technology programs. These students then go out into the market working at IBM and partner firms to fill the massive number of unfilled technology jobs worldwide. They also have their new-collar education programs, which are now focused on bringing tech workers who left tech back into the fold and giving veterans the skills they need to succeed at IBM and with IBM partners.
Rob Enderle is President and Principal Analyst of the Enderle Group, a forward-looking emerging technology advisory firm. With over 30 years’ experience in emerging technologies, he has provided regional and global companies with guidance in how to better target customer needs; create new business opportunities; anticipate technology changes; select vendors and products; and present their products in the best possible light. Rob covers the technology industry broadly. Before founding the Enderle Group, Rob was the Senior Research Fellow for Forrester Research and the Giga Information Group, and held senior positions at IBM and ROLM. Follow Rob on Twitter @enderle, on Facebook and on Google+
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LSI [3 Certification Exam(s) ]
Magento [3 Certification Exam(s) ]
Maintenance [2 Certification Exam(s) ]
McAfee [8 Certification Exam(s) ]
McData [3 Certification Exam(s) ]
Medical [69 Certification Exam(s) ]
Microsoft [374 Certification Exam(s) ]
Mile2 [3 Certification Exam(s) ]
Military [1 Certification Exam(s) ]
Misc [1 Certification Exam(s) ]
Motorola [7 Certification Exam(s) ]
mySQL [4 Certification Exam(s) ]
NBSTSA [1 Certification Exam(s) ]
NCEES [2 Certification Exam(s) ]
NCIDQ [1 Certification Exam(s) ]
NCLEX [2 Certification Exam(s) ]
Network-General [12 Certification Exam(s) ]
NetworkAppliance [39 Certification Exam(s) ]
NI [1 Certification Exam(s) ]
NIELIT [1 Certification Exam(s) ]
Nokia [6 Certification Exam(s) ]
Nortel [130 Certification Exam(s) ]
Novell [37 Certification Exam(s) ]
OMG [10 Certification Exam(s) ]
Oracle [279 Certification Exam(s) ]
P&C [2 Certification Exam(s) ]
Palo-Alto [4 Certification Exam(s) ]
PARCC [1 Certification Exam(s) ]
PayPal [1 Certification Exam(s) ]
Pegasystems [12 Certification Exam(s) ]
PEOPLECERT [4 Certification Exam(s) ]
PMI [15 Certification Exam(s) ]
Polycom [2 Certification Exam(s) ]
PostgreSQL-CE [1 Certification Exam(s) ]
Prince2 [6 Certification Exam(s) ]
PRMIA [1 Certification Exam(s) ]
PsychCorp [1 Certification Exam(s) ]
PTCB [2 Certification Exam(s) ]
QAI [1 Certification Exam(s) ]
QlikView [1 Certification Exam(s) ]
Quality-Assurance [7 Certification Exam(s) ]
RACC [1 Certification Exam(s) ]
Real-Estate [1 Certification Exam(s) ]
RedHat [8 Certification Exam(s) ]
RES [5 Certification Exam(s) ]
Riverbed [8 Certification Exam(s) ]
RSA [15 Certification Exam(s) ]
Sair [8 Certification Exam(s) ]
Salesforce [5 Certification Exam(s) ]
SANS [1 Certification Exam(s) ]
SAP [98 Certification Exam(s) ]
SASInstitute [15 Certification Exam(s) ]
SAT [1 Certification Exam(s) ]
SCO [10 Certification Exam(s) ]
SCP [6 Certification Exam(s) ]
SDI [3 Certification Exam(s) ]
See-Beyond [1 Certification Exam(s) ]
Siemens [1 Certification Exam(s) ]
Snia [7 Certification Exam(s) ]
SOA [15 Certification Exam(s) ]
Social-Work-Board [4 Certification Exam(s) ]
SpringSource [1 Certification Exam(s) ]
SUN [63 Certification Exam(s) ]
SUSE [1 Certification Exam(s) ]
Sybase [17 Certification Exam(s) ]
Symantec [134 Certification Exam(s) ]
Teacher-Certification [4 Certification Exam(s) ]
The-Open-Group [8 Certification Exam(s) ]
TIA [3 Certification Exam(s) ]
Tibco [18 Certification Exam(s) ]
Trainers [3 Certification Exam(s) ]
Trend [1 Certification Exam(s) ]
TruSecure [1 Certification Exam(s) ]
USMLE [1 Certification Exam(s) ]
VCE [6 Certification Exam(s) ]
Veeam [2 Certification Exam(s) ]
Veritas [33 Certification Exam(s) ]
Vmware [58 Certification Exam(s) ]
Wonderlic [2 Certification Exam(s) ]
Worldatwork [2 Certification Exam(s) ]
XML-Master [3 Certification Exam(s) ]
Zend [6 Certification Exam(s) ]
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